How Trump’s Win Could Reshape the Future of US Construction

  • Editorial Team
  • feature
  • 21 November 2024

The result of the U.S. election has out and Donald Trump has successfully secured another term in the White House. Whereas the coming of the new administration will influence other industries, it is also important to mention the construction industry. The construction industry is optimistic with the arrival of the new administration. It is expected that Trump’s administration maintain the several policies that could highly impact the industry including its cost and labor availability across the country. 

It is important to know what possible impact bring new administration and new year on construction industry.

Trade and Tariffs 

Trump’s administration is mostly known for its hard-line policies. One of them is imposing the tariff on others like China and other South Asian countries. The goods are highly important for the construction industry, and imposing a tariff on them can create a complicated situation for the construction sector. Trump’s “America First” policy is the main reason behind the change in trade policies. Although the previous administration had already imposed some tariffs on aluminum, steel, and other important goods, this resulted in a sudden rise in the cost for ongoing and coming projects.  

Trump’s administration may double down on even more drastic measures. It includes raising duties to 60%, even though Biden has already reinstated part of the previous liabilities on Chinese goods. Supply networks may be disrupted, and the cost of commodities essential to building projects would probably increase as a result.

Furthermore, Trump’s efforts to “decouple” from China by encouraging alternatives manufactured in the US might result in further price hikes or supply shortages until the domestic market catches up.

Financial Relief

Despite the radical policies Trump’s administration on various sectors still the construction sector has historically benefited from Trump’s tax policies. During his first term, Trump was kind in various approaches and provided sufficient relief to the business community. Particularly the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) of 2018, which reduced corporate tax rates to a flat 21% and switched the US to a territorial tax structure.

Industry leaders welcomed these emendations because they recognized the financial advantages for small construction companies and the streamlined tax system. Trump may provide further financial assistance to construction companies if he keeps tax reduction as a top priority during his second term. This might encourage more investments and job creation in the industry. 

Nevertheless, some provisions of the policies will expire by the year 2025 for individuals. Which may have an effect on taxpayers with business income from the personal filings. For now, as with most policies that the Trump administration is formulating, it appears that only large-scale construction corporations will find some ease in taxes while small businesses may not be afforded the same margin.

Deregulation: What It Could Mean for Compliance Costs

Deregulation has been a hallmark of Trump’s policy approach, and construction could once again be a beneficiary if he follows through on new rounds of deregulation. His earlier Executive Order 13771 required that two regulations be removed for every new one implemented, making it easier for construction companies to start and complete projects without facing heavy regulatory costs.

Trump’s renewed term could mean a reimplementation of similar deregulatory actions, particularly impacting environmental and safety regulations that the construction industry often navigates. However, if Congress remains divided, large-scale deregulation may be more challenging to pass. Despite this, Trump’s administration is likely to encourage reducing red tape wherever possible, potentially speeding up construction timelines and reducing costs associated with compliance.

Construction Labor and Immigration Policies

Another conceivably most important issue for the construction industry in Trump’s presidency is immigration. Trump in his previous term advocated for immigration control and has indicated that he could deport millions of people who work in the US mostly undocumented immigrants. 

This point of view brings different points of view among construction companies and labor. On one side it is seen as a good policy that could bring new job opportunities for natives. On the other side, particularly for companies became alarming because shortage of skilled labor. The sector that heavily depends on immigrant labor would be affected by these policies. 

Due to the threat of an imminent shortage of skilled labor, construction companies need to invest more capital in hiring workers, as they have to compete with other companies. If the labor becomes short in the market it creates unwanted competition to employ labor. 

Nonetheless, it will remain difficult for Trump to deport all immigrants. He promised to be deported as a result of legal and financial considerations. However, the simple signaling effect of trying to implement such policies could lead to uncertainty among immigrant workers and may alter labour availability and thereby construction project durations.

Wrap up 

Trump’s triumph signals a time of uncertainty and perhaps transformation for the construction sector. Construction companies may be able to expand if administrations support deregulation, tax breaks, and maybe substantial capital expenditure. Operational and financial issues might also be impacted by obstacles like possible tariff hikes, workforce shortages pushed on by immigration laws, and shifting laws and regulations.

For the time being, as the sector deals with how Trump’s plans may alter the environment, construction companies should prepare for a combination of possibilities and challenges. In the upcoming years, construction companies will need to be flexible and ready for regulation changes.